Example 1: exact real return versus the rule of thumb
| Nominal return (example assumption) | 7% p.a. |
|---|---|
| Inflation rate (example assumption) | 3% p.a. |
| Ongoing fees | 0% |
| Real return (exact) | 3.88% p.a. |
|---|---|
| Simple approximation | 4% p.a. |
| Difference exact − approximation | −0.12 pp |
Exact: (1 + 0.07) / (1 + 0.03) − 1 ≈ 3.88%. The rule of thumb '7% − 3%' gives 4% and slightly overstates the real return, because it ignores how the factors interact. The gap is small at low rates but grows with higher inflation. All figures are example assumptions.